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Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Banks' Subprime Losses Top $500 Billion on Writedowns- Pain Not over

12th August 2008 (New York) - Bloomberg

By Yalman Onaran

Banks' losses from the U.S. subprime crisis and the ensuing credit crunch crossed the $500 billion mark as write-downs spread to more asset types. The write-downs and credit losses at more than 100 of the world's biggest banks and securities firms rose after UBS AG reported second-quarter earnings today, which included $6 billion of charges on subprime-related assets.

The International Monetary Fund in an April report estimated banks' losses at $510 billion, about half its forecast of $1 trillion for all companies. Predictions have crept up since then, with New York University economist Nouriel Roubini predicting losses to reach $2 trillion.

`It just keeps spreading from one asset to another, so it's hard to know when these write-downs will stop,'' said Makeem Asif, an analyst at KBC Financial Products in London. ``The U.S. Economy needs to stabilize first. But even then, Europe could lag and recover later. There's still a lot more downside.''

Auction-rate securities have begun adding to the losses as regulators and prosecutors force banks to buy back bonds they'd sold as safe investments. UBS set aside $900 million to cover potential losses from repurchasing the securities, while Citigroup Inc. and Wachovia Corp. estimated losses at $500 million each.

Subprime Collapse

The collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market last year has saddled banks worldwide with $501 billion of losses from declining values of securities tied to all types of home loans and commercial mortgages as well as leveraged-loan commitments.

Banks and brokers have raised $353 billion of capital to cope with the write-downs, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The gap between losses and capital infusions, which now stands at $148 billion, has regularly narrowed to about $80 billion as capital raising follows write-down announcements.

The following table shows the asset write-downs and credit losses as well as the capital raised in response. All numbers are in billions of U.S. dollars, converted at today's exchange rate if reported in another currency.

Firm

Write-downs & Loss (US$ Bn)

Capital Raised (US $ Bn)

Citigroup

55.1

49.1

Merrill Lynch

51.8

29.9

UBS

44.2

28.3

HSBC

27.4

3.9

Wachovia

22.5

11

Bank of America

21.2

20.7

IKB Deutsche

15.3

12.6

Royal Bank of Scotland

14.9

24.3

Washington Mutual

14.8

12.1

Morgan Stanley

14.4

5.6

JPMorgan Chase

14.3

7.9

Deutsche Bank

10.8

3.2

Credit Suisse

10.5

2.7

Wells Fargo

10

4.1

Barclays

9.1

18.6

Lehman Brothers

8.2

13.9

Credit Agricole

8

8.8

Fortis

7.4

7.2

HBOS

7.1

7.6

Societe Generale

6.8

9.8

Bayerische Landesbank

6.4

-

Canadian Imperial (CIBC)

6.3

2.8

Mizuho Financial Group

5.9

-

National City

5.4

8.9

Lloyds TSB

5

4.9

IndyMac

4.9

-

WestLB

4.7

7.5

Dresdner

4.1

-

BNP Paribas

4

-

LB Baden-Wuerttemberg

3.8

-

Goldman Sachs

3.8

0.6

E*Trade

3.6

2.4

Nomura Holdings

3.3

1.1

Natixis

3.3

6.7

Bear Stearns

3.2

-

HSH Nordbank

2.8

1.9

Landesbank Sachsen

2.6

-

UniCredit

2.6

-

Commerzbank

2.4

-

ABN Amro

2.3

-

DZ Bank

2

-

Bank of China

2

-

Fifth Third

1.9

2.6

Rabobank

1.7

-

Bank Hapoalim

1.7

2.4

Mitsubishi UFJ

1.6

1.5

Royal Bank of Canada

1.5

-

Marshall & Ilsley

1.4

-

Alliance & Leicester

1.4

-

U.S. Bancorp

1.3

-

Dexia

1.2

-

Caisse d'Epargne

1.2

-

Keycorp

1.2

1.7

Sovereign Bancorp

1

1.9

Hypo Real Estate

1

-

Gulf International

1

1

Sumitomo Mitsui

0.9

4.9

Sumitomo Trust

0.7

1

DBS Group

0.2

1.1

Other European banks*

7.2

2.3

Other Asian banks*

4.6

7.8

Other U.S. banks*

2.9

1.9

Other Canadian banks*

1.8

-

TOTAL**

501.1

352.9

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All the matter on this site has been taken from the reports prepared by certified analyst of various organisations. As per rules the reports are not posted the same day but after two days to protect the rights of subscribers. Non of the information posted here is my view or prepared by me.